Introduction
The East Java Derby is set to ignite passions as PERSIK KEDIRI hosts PERSEBAYA in what promises to be a captivating encounter. This fixture is more than just a game; it”s a battle for regional pride and crucial league points. Both teams will be eager to assert dominance and improve their standings in the current campaign. Our detailed analysis will provide a solid PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
PERSIK KEDIRI will look to leverage their home advantage, while PERSEBAYA aims to continue their push for consistency. Our comprehensive analysis delves into recent form, head-to-head records, and key statistics to provide an informed PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction. Fans and bettors alike will find valuable insights into this much-anticipated showdown.
Head-to-Head Analysis

The rivalry between PERSIK KEDIRI and PERSEBAYA has delivered some memorable clashes over the years. Across their 10 total head-to-head matches, PERSEBAYA holds a statistical edge with 5 wins compared to PERSIK KEDIRI”s 2 victories, with 3 matches ending in a draw. The most recent encounter was a thrilling 3-3 draw, showcasing the attacking potential of both sides. This historical context is vital for any accurate PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
A fascinating anomaly in their historical data reveals PERSIK KEDIRI has scored a remarkable 20 goals against PERSEBAYA while conceding only 7 in these 10 matches. Conversely, PERSEBAYA has scored 7 goals and conceded 20 against PERSIK KEDIRI. This suggests that while PERSEBAYA has secured more wins, PERSIK KEDIRI”s victories have often been high-scoring affairs, significantly boosting their goal tally.
- PERSIK KEDIRI Win Rate: 20.0%
- PERSEBAYA Win Rate: 50.0%
- Total H2H Goals (PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA): 27 (Average 2.7 goals per match)
- PERSIK KEDIRI Longest Win Streak: 2 matches
- PERSEBAYA Longest Win Streak: 3 matches
- The average goals scored by PERSIK KEDIRI when playing at home against PERSEBAYA is 2.0 goals.
- The average goals scored by PERSEBAYA when playing away against PERSIK KEDIRI is also 2.0 goals.
This historical trend of high-scoring games, especially the recent 3-3 draw, indicates that attacking football is often on display when these two teams meet. It suggests that despite PERSEBAYA”s superior win rate, PERSIK KEDIRI possesses a distinct ability to find the back of the net in this particular fixture. This specific H2H dynamic is a cornerstone of our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
Home Team Form Analysis: PERSIK KEDIRI
Recent Performance
PERSIK KEDIRI enters this fixture in a challenging patch of form, having secured only 3 wins, 2 draws, and suffered 5 losses across their last 10 matches. Their attacking output averages 1.1 goals per game, but their defense has been a concern, conceding 1.4 goals on average. This defensive vulnerability, coupled with inconsistent scoring, has hampered their progress.
At home, PERSIK KEDIRI has managed only 1 win in their last 10 overall matches, which is a statistic they will be keen to improve upon in front of their home supporters. The team”s recent form (L D L W L) highlights their struggle for consistency, with only one victory in their last five outings. Building momentum will be crucial for them as they face a formidable rival, influencing our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
Last 5 Matches Breakdown
| date | home team | Away_team | home_score | Away_score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31.10.25 | PSIM Yogyakarta | Persik Kediri | 2 | 1 | L |
| 25.10.25 | Persik Kediri | PSM Makassar | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18.10.25 | Borneo | Persik Kediri | 2 | 0 | L |
| 27.09.25 | Persijap Jepara | Persik Kediri | 0 | 2 | W |
| 19.09.25 | FC Bhayangkara | Persik Kediri | 1 | 0 | L |
W = Win
D = Draw
L = Loss
The recent match results paint a clear picture of PERSIK KEDIRI”s struggles. They have suffered three losses in their last five matches, including a 2-1 defeat to PSIM Yogyakarta and a 2-0 loss to Borneo. Their sole victory came against Persijap Jepara with a convincing 2-0 scoreline, demonstrating their capability when firing on all cylinders. However, a 1-1 home draw against PSM Makassar also highlights their difficulty in closing out games, a factor that will weigh on our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
Away Team Form Analysis: PERSEBAYA
Recent Performance
PERSEBAYA comes into this derby in significantly better form than their hosts, boasting a record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses in their last 10 matches. Their attacking average stands at 1.2 goals per game, slightly better than PERSIK KEDIRI. Crucially, their defensive record is stronger, conceding just 0.9 goals per match on average.
While they have secured 4 home wins, their away form has been less dominant, with only 1 away win in their last 10 fixtures. This will be a key factor in the upcoming PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction. However, their recent form (W D L D W) shows a positive trend, with two wins and two draws in their last five, indicating a resilient and capable side. This consistency makes them a strong contender in this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA clash.
Last 5 Matches Breakdown
| date | home team | Away_team | home_score | Away_score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02.11.25 | Persebaya | Persis Solo | 2 | 1 | W |
| 24.10.25 | PSBS Biak Numfor | Persebaya | 0 | 0 | D |
| 18.10.25 | Persebaya | Persija Jakarta | 1 | 3 | L |
| 26.09.25 | Dewa United | Persebaya | 1 | 1 | D |
| 19.09.25 | Persebaya | Semen Padang | 1 | 0 | W |
W = Win
D = Draw
L = Loss
PERSEBAYA”s recent performances demonstrate their ability to grind out results. They secured a crucial 2-1 home win against Persis Solo in their last match and managed a goalless draw away to PSBS Biak Numfor. Their only recent loss was a heavy 1-3 defeat at home to Persija Jakarta, but they quickly bounced back. An away draw against Dewa United (1-1) also shows their resilience on the road, even if wins are harder to come by. This consistent performance provides a strong foundation for our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
Form Comparison & Key Statistics
When comparing the recent forms of PERSIK KEDIRI and PERSEBAYA, a clear difference emerges. PERSEBAYA holds the edge in overall performance, with 5 wins from 10 matches compared to PERSIK KEDIRI”s 3 wins. This superior win rate translates into greater confidence and momentum for the away side, influencing the PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
**Goals Scored and Conceded:**
- **PERSIK KEDIRI:**
- Goals Scored (Overall): 11 (Average: 1.1 per match)
- Goals Conceded (Overall): 14 (Average: 1.4 per match)
- Overall Goal Difference: -3
- **PERSEBAYA:**
- Goals Scored (Overall): 12 (Average: 1.2 per match)
- Goals Conceded (Overall): 9 (Average: 0.9 per match)
- Overall Goal Difference: +3
PERSEBAYA”s slightly better attacking average (1.2 vs 1.1) combined with a significantly stronger defensive record (0.9 conceded vs 1.4 conceded) makes them statistically more efficient. Their positive goal difference (+3) indicates a better balance between offense and defense compared to PERSIK KEDIRI”s negative (-3).
**Home Advantage vs. Away Form:**
PERSIK KEDIRI”s struggle at home, with only 1 win in their last 10, suggests that the traditional home advantage might not be as pronounced for them in this fixture. While PERSEBAYA also has only 1 away win in their last 10, their overall form and defensive solidity make them a tougher opponent on the road. The H2H statistics, showing both teams average 2.0 goals when playing home/away in this derby, strongly suggest that both teams will likely find the net. This adds another layer of complexity to our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
The unique H2H goal scoring pattern, where PERSIK KEDIRI has a much better goal difference against PERSEBAYA in direct encounters despite fewer wins, highlights a particular dynamic. It implies PERSIK KEDIRI can be explosive in attack during this derby, but PERSEBAYA possesses the tactical nous to secure results, even in tight contests. This suggests a match where both teams are capable of scoring, but PERSEBAYA might be better equipped to manage the game and secure the points, shaping our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
Betting Trends & Insights
Analyzing the statistical trends provides valuable insights for betting on the PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA match. The historical data and recent form suggest certain outcomes are more probable, informing our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
| Statistic | PERSIK KEDIRI (Last 10) | PERSEBAYA (Last 10) | H2H Trend (Last 10) | Match Prediction Insight |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Average Goals Scored | 1.1 | 1.2 | PERSIK KEDIRI: 2.0 (Home H2H), PERSEBAYA: 2.0 (Away H2H) | High scoring potential in this specific fixture for our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction. |
| Average Goals Conceded | 1.4 | 0.9 | PERSIK KEDIRI conceded 0.7, PERSEBAYA conceded 2.0 | PERSEBAYA”s defense generally stronger, but vulnerable in H2H. |
| Both Teams To Score (BTTS) | 2/5 recent matches (40%) | 3/5 recent matches (60%) | Recent H2H 3-3 draw. Strong H2H scoring trends for both. | High probability for BTTS “Yes” in this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction. |
| Over 1.5 Goals | 8/10 matches (80%) | 7/10 matches (70%) | Average 2.7 goals per H2H match. | Very high confidence for Over 1.5 Goals. |
| Over 2.5 Goals | 5/10 matches (50%) | 4/10 matches (40%) | Average 2.7 goals per H2H match, recent 3-3. | Good confidence for Over 2.5 Goals. |
| Clean Sheet Probability | 1/5 recent (20%) | 2/5 recent (40%) | PERSIK KEDIRI 7 conceded, PERSEBAYA 20 conceded (H2H). | Low probability for either team to keep a clean sheet in this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA fixture. |
The betting trends reinforce the expectation of a high-scoring affair. The H2H statistics, particularly the average goals, strongly point towards both teams finding the net and the total goals exceeding 2.5. PERSEBAYA”s defensive record in H2H matches against PERSIK KEDIRI is a significant outlier compared to their general form, suggesting a unique challenge this fixture presents for them.
Match Prediction
Considering all the data, the PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction leans towards an entertaining, high-scoring match. While PERSEBAYA boasts superior recent form and a dominant H2H win record, PERSIK KEDIRI”s remarkable H2H goal-scoring prowess cannot be ignored. The 3-3 draw in their last encounter further solidifies the expectation of goals for this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA clash.
PERSIK KEDIRI, despite their overall struggles, transforms into a goal-scoring machine against PERSEBAYA, especially at home (averaging 2.0 goals). PERSEBAYA, even on the road, also averages 2.0 goals in this specific derby. This confluence of factors makes predicting a straightforward winner challenging, but it makes the goal markets very attractive for our PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction.
**Key Prediction Outcomes:**
- **Over 1.5 Goals:** High Confidence. With a historical H2H average of 2.7 goals per match and both teams showing the capability to score, this outcome is highly likely.
- **Both Teams To Score (BTTS) “Yes”:** High Confidence. The recent 3-3 draw and the historical H2H goal data (PERSIK KEDIRI scoring 20, PERSEBAYA scoring 7 in 10 matches) strongly support both teams finding the back of the net in this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA encounter.
- **Over 2.5 Goals:** Medium to High Confidence. While both teams” general form suggests slightly lower goal averages, the H2H history and the last result push this probability higher.
- **Double Chance: PERSEBAYA or Draw (X2):** Medium Confidence. Despite PERSIK KEDIRI”s H2H scoring, PERSEBAYA”s overall better form and superior H2H win record make them less likely to lose this match. Their resilience, even in away fixtures, suggests they can at least secure a draw, making this a strong PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction option.
**Suggested Betting Value:**
The most compelling betting opportunities for this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction lie in the goals markets. “Both Teams To Score – Yes” and “Over 2.5 Goals” offer significant value given the historical trends of this fiery derby. A bet on “Over 1.5 Goals” provides a safer option with very high confidence. For those looking for a result-based wager, “Double Chance: PERSEBAYA or Draw” seems a prudent choice, reflecting PERSEBAYA”s overall consistency.
Conclusion
The upcoming East Java Derby between PERSIK KEDIRI and PERSEBAYA is poised to be a thrilling contest, rich in statistical intrigue. While PERSEBAYA arrives with superior overall form and a better head-to-head win record, PERSIK KEDIRI possesses a unique ability to unleash their attacking prowess in this specific fixture, as evidenced by their impressive H2H goal tally.
Our comprehensive PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA prediction indicates a match where goals are highly probable from both sides. The historical 3-3 draw serves as a potent reminder of the goal-laden encounters these two teams often produce. Expect an open game with plenty of action in front of goal. Ultimately, while PERSIK KEDIRI will fight hard at home, PERSEBAYA”s current momentum and defensive solidity might just give them the slight edge needed to secure at least a point on the road in this PERSIK KEDIRI vs PERSEBAYA clash.

